Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.075020 0.087112 0.100346 0.115879 0.133586 0.153115 0.176260
2025-01-12 0.054092 0.069389 0.087664 0.111007 0.139920 0.174437 0.218640
2025-01-19 0.041205 0.057766 0.079145 0.108538 0.147634 0.197545 0.265737
2025-01-26 0.034857 0.052821 0.077625 0.113953 0.165282 0.234597 0.334527
2025-02-02 0.029968 0.048726 0.076244 0.118875 0.182397 0.272478 0.408506
2025-02-09 0.024105 0.041959 0.069720 0.115092 0.186171 0.291679 0.457993
2025-02-16 0.020159 0.037369 0.065591 0.114012 0.193360 0.316037 0.516904
2025-02-23 0.016678 0.032848 0.060753 0.110891 0.196609 0.334276 0.567781
2025-03-02 0.014012 0.029233 0.056799 0.108514 0.200483 0.353467 0.621488
2025-03-09 0.012322 0.027104 0.055080 0.109660 0.210229 0.382850 0.694101
2025-03-16 0.010376 0.024096 0.051251 0.106368 0.211609 0.397997 0.743809
2025-03-23 0.009602 0.023356 0.051637 0.110995 0.227772 0.440069 0.843413
2025-03-30 0.008529 0.021810 0.050257 0.112130 0.237772 0.472564 0.929889
2025-04-06 0.007267 0.019591 0.047145 0.109343 0.239855 0.490768 0.992128
2025-04-13 0.006301 0.017872 0.044832 0.107886 0.244369 0.513870 1.065424
2025-04-20 0.005967 0.017664 0.045867 0.113794 0.264639 0.569104 1.204525
2025-04-27 0.005611 0.017328 0.046550 0.118986 0.283913 0.623963 1.347208
2025-05-04 0.004798 0.015580 0.043568 0.115337 0.283591 0.639215 1.412388
2025-05-11 0.004232 0.014404 0.041811 0.114324 0.288954 0.666529 1.504039
2025-05-18 0.003649 0.013043 0.039348 0.111229 0.289167 0.682906 1.574227
2025-05-25 0.003175 0.011908 0.037295 0.108862 0.290771 0.702304 1.652152
2025-06-01 0.002892 0.011318 0.036642 0.110021 0.300920 0.741236 1.774848
2025-06-08 0.002494 0.010247 0.034436 0.106723 0.299720 0.754560 1.842453